NAB manages an earnings surprise

For the past two years bank chief executives have been explaining away the rising trend in bad and doubtful debt charges by saying rhe increases were off a low – abnormally low – base. The tone of the discussion changed yesterday when National Australia Bank’s chief executive designate, Cameron Clyne, said the bad-debt cycle had…

China's slowdown

This note looks at the slowdown now unfolding in China. The key points are as follows: – Chinese growth has already slowed significantly on the back of slowing exports and a property slump. Growth is likely to slow to 8% in 2009. – However, a hard landing (say 5% growth) is unlikely: the global financial turmoil…